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Thursday, December 28, 2006

Market Trends and Forecasts 22Dec06

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Trade Report

Portfolio & Trades

Due to low volume, we did not initiate any new trades this week.

Stay tuned in the next several weeks -- activity will pick up strongly.
We are ready with new ideas and strong in our approach and advanced system.

We look forward to a New Year of success!

Enjoy the Holidays!

Sunday, December 17, 2006

Market Trends and Forecasts 15Dec06

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Trade Report

Portfolio & Trades

Due to low volume, we did not initiate any new trades this week.

Enjoy the Holidays!

Sunday, December 10, 2006

Market Trends and Forecasts 08Dec06

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Trade Report

Portfolio & Trades

We closed our ORCL trade at a 41% profit on December 6th.

Monday, December 04, 2006

Market Trends and Forecasts 04Dec06

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Market Trends and Forecasts 24nov06

Our weekly forecast is now part of the Market Trends and Forecasts newletter.

Access (it's free!) this week's issue by clicking >> Market Trends and Forecasts 24nov06




Monday, November 20, 2006

Weekly forecast - 20 November 2006 - Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Last week has seen all major indexes significantly jump up, breaking through the range they had been bound in for the last ten days. Now they will face significant resistance. Should that be broken, it would mark the beginning of a new explosive period of growth at historical highs. Otherwise il will be a routine retracement in the next one to two weeks.

In the meantime, the bonds, gold, and oil markets, in spite of all the daily noise in the financial news reports, continue trading in a range.

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Weekly forecast - 13 November 2006 - Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Short term forecast continues to show weakness. Medium and long term are still in positive territory, but are very close to resistance levels. Caution is in order with regards to bullish positions. We will be focusing on short term bear swing trades in the next several days.

Sunday, November 05, 2006

Weekly report - Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

While unemployment hits a 5-year low and productivity comes to a standstill, last week saw a decline on all indices. The bullish reports on lower unemployment and rising wages limit the possibility of the Fed easing anytime soon caused a strong plunge in the treasuries. Primary support of equities indexes has not been breached, so we maintain a positive long term forecast. In the short term we will watch closely our short positions, being ready to shut them down if the correction stalls. The short positions on DIA and ORCL that we started last week are already in the double-digit profit area.

Friday, November 03, 2006

Another good day - Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

The market correction continued today, with all major indeces posting relatively small losses. Oil price had a significant spike up, but is still well within its long term downtrend. The large downturn in the bond issues gave a great boost to one of our positions. Our indicators do not contradict a continuation of the current downtrend, but we'll continue moving carefully on monday.

The newly opened DIA position closed today at +15% (was opened yesterday).
The ORCL position closed today at +55% (10 days in this trade)

Have a great weekend!

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts - Daily review - November 1

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

In accord with the reading of our indicators (see yesterday post), all major equity indexes have closed lower today. The long term trend remains positive for the time being; we'll see in the next few days if we are facing a more significant retreat. Therefore, we will not open any new positions tomorrow.

Today's retreat caused our DIA put position to close today at a nice 15% profit (position was opened Oct 30th).

Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Stock Market Trends - month's end - Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

Stock Market Trends and Forecasts

The Market - As of October 31st, from the long-term point of view, equities are posed to continue their current four-months run-up. The mid-term perspective calls for a bit of caution since the market has been overbought for a while. This may very well continue on and bring new highs, but we shouldn't be surprised by a short term correction. In the short term we have already seen a bit of a slow down these last couple days.

Position management - Hold long term long positions - Do not open new long positions until the short term situation unfolds more clearly. Aggressive short positions can be considered for brief swing positions.

Open positions - On its tenth day, the latest trade on ORCL showed a 7% profit at today's close, retreating from the peak we had yesterday at 45% profit (that wasn't bad for nine days in the trade!). We kept the trade on since the overall analysis has not changed. No changes in the other open trades.

Recently closed positions -

Closed at 63.7 % PROFIT
ENERGY SELECT SPDR (AMEX:XLE)
-Dec06 - 52.0 Call option
-Option symbol: XBTLZ
-Trade open on 10/5/06 - closed on 10/16/06
-days in trade: 8
-Profit/Loss: 63.7 % PROFIT
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Closed at 76.7 % PROFIT
ALTRIA GROUP INC (NYSE:MO)
-Dec06 - 85.0 Put option
-Option symbol: MO XQ
-Trade open on 9/6/06 - closed on 9/25/06
-days in trade: 14
-Profit/Loss: 76.7 % PROFIT
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Closed at 6.4 % PROFIT
NASDAQ 100 TR SER I (NasdaqGM:QQQQ)
-Sep06 - 37.0 call option
-Option symbol: QQQIK
-Trade open on 6/27/06 - closed on 9/5/06
-days in trade: 51
-Profit/Loss: 6.4 % PROFIT
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